General Andrew Azazi’s speech at the just concluded South-South
Economic summit was spot on. Albeit too many analysts and political
masquerades have tried to deconstruct the speech into components that
suit their selfish political objectives, the keynote of the NSA was
clear – that political discontent engendered by the outcome of the 2011
presidential elections, created conducive nesting environment for the
escalation of the Boko Haram Jihad.
The deeper meaning of his speech is the absolute response to United
States’ posturing that economic alienation is the principal motor of
Boko Haram. The NSA did not completely disagree with Ambassador Johnny
Carson, but he delivered a didactic talk.
General Azazi questioned the logic of a party constitution that
seemingly closed the door on President Goodluck Jonathan, when in fact
the constitution which made him president clearly said: ‘hey man, you
can run’.
Disgruntled politicians
He indicted disgruntled politicians in the North, who have resorted
to playing dirty, for sponsoring the terrorist organization and
suggested that the rhetoric of these political elements in the build up
to the 2011 elections catalyzed the resurgence of the Boko Haram Jihad.
Who mounted pressure on Zakari Biu – the police chief – to free the
Christmas day bomber, Kabiru Sokoto? Common Nigerians need to wake up!
After my thematic audit of the speech, my conclusion is simple: It
was the controversy that the PDP stirred with their overstretched debate
on zoning and the eventual victory of the PDP candidate – in an
election judged as fair – that engendered the momentum for disgruntled
opposition politicians to abet the metamorphosis of Boko Haram.
Furthermore, the careless rhetoric of some eminent citizens from
within the PDP and the opposition – like those who even promised to make
the nation ungovernable- that fertilized the ovary of the new Boko
Haram. An ovary genetically engineered to birth in 2015, I think.
While Gen. Azazi did not rule out the poverty, economic constraints
(economic alienation as US Ambassador Carson puts it) and the dearth of
opportunities in the North as supplementary cause of the new Boko Haram,
I interpreted his speech to mean that, the metamorphosis of Boko Haram
has principally been driven by political interests. The old Boko Haram
has evolved into a political Boko Haram.
What Gen. Azazi perhaps forgot is that his
appointment as national security adviser has in no little way angered
the same elements that have actuated the metamorphosis of Boko Haram.
Perhaps, to validate the pseudo theory that only Nigerians from a
particular part of the country could become NSAs as it has been from the
day the position was established. General Azazi’s appointment like the
2011 election results has also in some way been seen as a deprivation of
some sort.
Forget the posturing of Ambassador Carson, America knows the truth,
they also understand the root. While the United States has a duty to
protect its strategic oil interest in the Niger Delta region of Nigeria,
it also has a duty to protect the interest of the North.
The control of most of the nation’s oil wealth is directly and
indirectly largely still under the big oil moguls of Northern Nigeria.
Also, bearing in mind that almost all of these Northern oil moguls
export their crude oil to the United States of America, and also have
mostly American technical partners, it is safe to suggest that beyond
Nigeria being America’s most important strategic ally in Sub-Saharan
Africa, the United States has a good deal of specific interest in North.
Clearly, the United States’ posturing is that it will be politically
injurious to their strategic interest in the region, if they list the
terrorist sect Boko Haram as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) or
even attempt to support the Federal Government’s military effort
overtly.
The condition for the listing of a terrorist organization like Boko
Haram as an FTO is mostly based on political permutations rather than
its level of viciousness or the threat the organization poses to local
and world peace. For instance, Hezbollah is considered as an FTO by the
United States but not the United Kingdom.
Downplaying of Boko Haram threat
To justify their posturing, the US has simply downplayed Boko Haram’s
threat to US strategic interest, blaming it simply on poverty and
chiding the Nigerian government for economic alienation of the North.
Like Nigeria, Indonesia is waging one of the world’s most determined
campaigns against terrorism – and much of the credit goes to the
American trained unit, Detachment 88.
Indonesia is clearly, by virtue of its size, location and status as a
democracy, one of the most important countries to the United States in
Asia. The country has more Muslim faithful than Iran, Iraq, Egypt and
Saudi Arabia combined. The strategic sea lanes that pass through and
along Indonesian territory carry one-third of the world’s sea-borne
trade, and half of the world’s oil passes through the Malacca Strait.
In February, 2012, Jemaah Ansharut Tauhid (JAT) the terrorist
organization (with lot of similarities with Boko Haram), which seeks to
establish an Islamic caliphate in Indonesia, was added to the Foreign
Terrorist Organization list by the United States, following its attacks
on Indonesian police, government personnel and citizens and churches.
While the audacity of the Bali bombings proved to be an epiphany for
Indonesians awakening them to the home-grown terrorists in their midst
and helping force a national consensus against terrorism, Nigeria still
lacks the needed consensus, as Boko Haram has become an instrument in
the hands of some selfish, desperate and disgruntled politicians, whose
sole aim perhaps, is to embarrass their political adversaries.
Comparatively, Nigerian security agencies have busted more terrorist
cells, explosive factories and training camps than Indonesia; taken out
more terrorists than the Detachment 88; and thwarted more terrorist
plots than Indonesian agencies.
Boko Haram has killed much more police officers than the JAT; they
have bombed much more churches than the JAT (JAT has only successfully
bombed one church, with no death recorded); they have killed more
government officials than the JAT; they have killed more innocent
citizens than the JAT; and even boast of a larger army and potential
recruitment pool than JAT considering the “economic alienation” of the
North as Ambassador J. Carson puts it. They have executed the most
daring kinds of attacks and have a higher horror profile than the JAT
with regards to foreigners killed. Yet, while the United States
considers JAT good for listing as a Foreign Terrorist Organization, it
doesn’t consider Boko Haram enough threat to its strategic interest.
Apprehensions about anti-US sentiments
The US is apprehensive about anti-US sentiments not just in Northern
Nigeria, but also in Chad and Cameroun – countries where US protects
major investments and Boko Haram poses a major potential threat. Chad
Basin and Chad Republic have always been potential sources of oil.
The United States definitely has it eyes on the basin. There are
currently four oil prospecting licences in the Chad basin already. Then
just across the Nigerian border, in Chad Republic, an American company
Chevron is pumping out over 3.5 million barrels of crude oil every
month.
In 2000, Chevron became a participant in two major projects in Chad.
The first was the development of the Doba oil fields in the south. The
second involved the construction and operation of a pipeline to
transport oil from those fields to an export terminal facility in
Cameroon. Together, they represent one of the largest industrial
projects in Africa.
Now, that is what they call strategic interest, so do not blame the
USA. They turn their eyes the other way, stay out of the fray and let
Nigeria fight her battle alone. But the US must be told the
metamorphosis of Boko Haram is not yet complete. Yesterday, it was about
Borno State; today it’s about national politics; the Boko Haram of
tomorrow still remains a conundrum.
Security experts agree that our security agencies are beginning to
slice the sect. I am confident that soon, the more organized, more
sophisticated operations of Boko Haram will gradually diminish. However,
security agencies must be advised never to undermine the threat of lone
Boko Haram Jihadists. They must proactively lookout for fresh extremist
tactics such as book bombs and letter bombs, method Indonesian
terrorist cells now use. The intellectual cover Boko Haram has enjoyed
in the past few months has exposed that beyond the ragtag group
patronized by Ali Modu Sheriff, is a newly reformed terrorist
organization working the dictates of experienced political masquerades.
Fighting terrorism in a democracy is difficult – the stakes are high.
The process sometimes may seem slow because the constitution and civil
liberties must be protected. Stanford professor Laura K. Donohue in her
book – The Cost of Counter terrorism: Power, Politics and Liberty- warns
of the risks to fundamental individual rights when democracies
establish counter-terrorist regimes. She discards the logic of
governments framing their initiatives in terms of a choice between
security and freedom and argues that loss of liberty is not necessarily
balanced by gain in safety. General Azazi’s strategy has been grounded
on this principle: he has insisted that our security strategy must first
protect our liberty.
On a final note, no cause justifies terrorism – not poverty, not
politics. Some have terrorized because they want some nations off the
surface of the earth; some have because they want Sharia imposed on
nations; some have terrorized because they want power and freedom. So
should Israel then apologize for her sovereignty? Should America
apologize for her liberty?
Should Indonesia apologize for her secularism? Should Nigeria apologize for her constitution? Hell no.
•Ross Alabo-George wrote in from Lagos
-VANGUARD NEWS
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